Ukraine takes on Iceland at home on the 26th of March (19:45 GMT / 14:45 ET / 11:45 PT) in the UEFA European Championship Qualifiers final.
Ukraine finished in 3rd place with 14 points (the same as 2nd, but with a lower goal difference) in a group with England, Italy, North Macedonia and Malta.
Iceland was 4th in a group with Portugal, Slovakia, Luxembourg, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Liechtenstein. Iceland was a mess in these qualifiers, even Luxembourg finished 7 points above Iceland in 3rd place. This group was a nightmare for Iceland and Bosnia & Herzegovina.
On the 21st of March in the semi-finals of the qualifiers both teams managed to win they matches without overtime. Ukraine beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-1 away, while Iceland easily won against Israel 4-1, also away.
Ukraine vs Iceland head to head:
The teams met 4 times (official matches):
- Ukraine won 1 match
- 2 draws
- Iceland won 1 match
The form of the teams in the most recent 5 UEFA European Championship Qualifiers matches:
- Ukraine: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
- Iceland: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Teams’ stats in the European Championship Qualifiers matches so far:
Win-Loss Record:
- Ukraine has won 5 matches, with 2 wins at home and 3 away. They’ve drawn 2 games, both at home, and lost 2 matches, both away.
- Iceland has won 4 games, with 2 wins at home and 2 away. They’ve drawn only 1 match, at home, and lost 6 games, 2 at home and 4 away.
Goal Scoring and Conceding:
- Ukraine has scored a total of 13 goals (1.44 goals / match), with 4 at home and 9 away. They’ve conceded 9 goals (1 goal / match), only 1 at home and 8 away.
- Iceland has scored 21 goals (1.91 goals / match), with 7 at home and 14 away. They’ve conceded 17 goals (1.55 goals / match), 4 at home and 13 away.
- Ukraine failed to score in 2 matches, 1 at home and 1 away. Iceland failed to score in 3 matches, 1 at home and 2 away.
Clean Sheets and First Goal Timing:
- Ukraine has kept 3 clean sheets, all at home. They typically score their first goal around the 51st minute and concede the first goal relatively early, around the 26th minute.
- Iceland has managed 3 clean sheets as well, 2 at home and 1 away. They tend to score their first goal early, around the 40th minute, and concede it slightly later, around the 35th minute.
Biggest Victories and Defeats:
- Ukraine’ biggest victory was 2-0, while their biggest defeat was 0-2.
- Iceland’s biggest victory was also 7-0, and their biggest defeat was 0-3.
Ukraine possible starting lineup:
Anatoliy Trubin, Yukhym Konoplia, Illia Zabarnyi, Vitaliy Mykolenko, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Georgiy Sudakov, Serhiy Sydorchuk, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Oleksandr Zubkov, Mykhailo Mudryk, Artem Dovbyk
Iceland possible starting lineup:
Hakon Rafn Valdimarsson, Alfons Sampsted, Victor Pálsson, Sverrir Ingason, Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson, Willum Thor Willumsson, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Ísak Bergmann Johannesson, Arnór Ingvi Traustason, Alfred Finnbogason, Orri Óskarsson
Unavailable players:
- Ukraine: V. Tsyhankov (injured), S. Sydorchuk (supended)
- Iceland: –
Iceland had a terrible performance in all qualifier matches for the UEFA Euro 2024. Ukraine is the favorite in this match, but I can’t ignore that Iceland has a powerful offensive and they are keen on attacking. That’s why I’ll go with Iceland scoring at least once.
Recommended bet: Iceland >0.5 goals, odds: 1.87 @ BetWhale, stake: 50/100
Final result: Ukraine – Iceland 2:1
Profit: +43.5 units