Bayern Munich takes on Lazio Roma at home on the 5th of March (20:00 GMT / 15:00 ET / 12:00 PT) in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League 1/8 finals after the 1st leg won by Lazio 1-0. Bayern has to live up to their status as a favorite in this elimination round and will need to either win by a two goals margin or if they win just by one goal they will have to prove themselves in the overtime or even worse the penalties.
The history between the 2 teams consists of 3 official matches:
- 2 won by Bayern Munich (funny enough those 2 matches were played in the 1/8 finals of UCL back in 2021)
- 1 won by Lazio Roma (back in February)
The form of the teams in the most recent 5 Champions League matches:
- Bayern has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1
- Lazio has won 3 games, and lost 2
Bayern Munich has showcased dominance with 5 wins out of 7 matches, securing a total of 16 points, finishing unbeaten in the group stage. Their attacking prowess is evident, netting 12 goals while maintaining a respectable defensive record, conceding only 7 goals. Interestingly, they seem to excel more at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match compared to 1.5 away. However, they have faltered once away, conceding 2 goals on average per match.
On the defensive end, Bayern boasts 2 clean sheets, indicating their ability to shut down opponents when needed. Their average time to score the first goal stands at 50 minutes, indicating a consistent attacking threat throughout the match.
In contrast, Lazio Roma has garnered 4 wins out of 7 matches, accumulating 13 points during the group stage. While they have a slightly lower goal tally of 8, their defense has been leaky at times, conceding 7 goals. Lazio’s home form has been impressive, securing 3 wins out of 4 matches with a solid defensive display, conceding only once. However, their away record raises concerns, as they have lost 2 out of 3 matches on the road.
Notably, Lazio tends to score earlier in matches, with an average time of 66 minutes for the first goal, showcasing their ability to start strong. However, they are prone to conceding early goals, with an average time of 19 minutes for opponents to breach their defense.
Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, setting the stage for an intriguing matchup. Bayern’s attacking prowess against Lazio’s solid defense promises an exciting encounter, where each team will seek to capitalize on their opponent’s vulnerabilities.
Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Kimmich, Kim, De Ligt, Davies; Pavlovic, Goretzka; Tel, Muller, Musiala; Kane.
Lazio Roma possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Cataldi, Alberto; Anderson, Immobile, Zaccagni.
Unavailable players:
- Bayern: S. Boey (injured), B. Sarr (injured), T. Buchmann (injured), N. Mazraoui (injured), D. Upamecano (suspended), K. Coman (injured)
- Lazio: Patric (injured), Rovella N. (injured)
Bayern Munich will need to prove that they are the better team and live up to their status and comeback from the 1st leg’s 1-0 defeat.
Recommended bet: Bayern Munich -1.5 AH (Spread) odds: 1.80 @ BetWhale, stake: 60/100
Final Result: Bayern Munich – Lazio Roma : 3-0
Profit: 48 units
