Poland vs Estonia: Bet Prediction, Match Analysis and Lineups

Poland will play at home against Estonia on the 21th of March (19:45 GMT / 14:45 ET / 11:45 PT) in the UEFA European Championship Qualifiers semi-finals.

The winning team of this 2 leg elimination round will play the final match against the winner between Wales and Finland, for a spot at the UEFA European Championship 2024.

Poland finished 3rd with 11 points, 4 points below the 1st and 2nd placed teams Albania and Czech Republic. In this group there were also Moldova and Faroe Islands. All in all, Poland had quite an easy group and they should have finished at the top of it, but they were plagued by a serious poor form.

Estonia finished 5th (last place) with just 1 point out of 8 matches in a group with Belgium, Austria, Sweden, and Azerbaijan. They managed to get the playoff spot because they won their UEFA Nations League – League D group which consisted of them, Malta, and San Marino.

Poland vs Estonia head to head:

The teams met 6 times (official matches):

  • Poland won 5 games
  • Estonia won 1 game

The form of the teams in the most recent 5 UEFA European Championship Qualifiers matches:

  • Poland: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
  • Estonia: 5 losses

Teams’ stats in the UEFA European Championship Qualifiers matches so far:

Win-Loss Record:

  • Poland secured 3 wins, with 2 wins at home and 1 away. They also had 2 draws, both occurring in home matches, and 3 losses, all of which were away games.
  • Estonia, on the other hand, did not secure any victories. They had 1 draw at home and 1 away, while suffering 7 losses, with 4 losses at home and 3 away.

Goal Scoring and Conceding:

  • Poland scored a total of 10 goals, with 5 goals each at home and away, while conceding the same number of goals. Their home matches saw them concede only 2 goals, while away matches resulted in 8 goals against them.
  • Estonia struggled in front of the goal, scoring only 2 goals in total, both of which were scored in away matches. They conceded a total of 22 goals, with 12 goals conceded at home and 10 away.
  • Poland failed to score in 1 match, while Estonia in 6 matches.

Clean Sheets and First Goal Timing:

  • Poland managed to keep 3 clean sheets, with 2 at home and 1 away, while Estonia failed to keep any clean sheets.
  • The average time for Poland to score the first goal is around the 44th minute, with home matches seeing the first goal scored slightly later at around the 51st minute mark. They tend to concede their first goal around the 32nd minute overall and earlier in home matches at around the 37th minute mark.
  • Estonia, on average, scored their first goal around the 26th minute mark, with both goals scored away from home. They tend to concede their first goal earlier, around the 30th minute overall, and even earlier in home matches at around the 22nd minute mark.

Biggest Victories and Defeats:

  • The biggest victory for Poland was a 2 – 0 win, while the biggest defeat was 0 – 2.
  • Estonia didn’t win any match so far, and their biggest defeat was 0 – 5.

Poland possible starting lineup:

Wojciech Szczęsny, Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Przemysław Frankowski, Tomasz Kędziora, Sebastian Szymański,

Piotr Zieliński, Damian Szymański, Nicola Zalewski, Karol Świderskim, Robert Lewandowski.

Estonia possible starting lineup:

Karl Hein, Karol Mets, Rasmus Peetson, Maksim Paskotši, Artur Pikk, Mattias Käit, Martin Miller, Georgi Tunjov,

Markus Poom, Henri Anier, Vlasiy Sinyavskiy.

Unavailable players:

  • Poland: –
  • Estonia: –

Poland is the big favorite and there’s no way Estonia will be able to knock them out of the race for a spot at the European Championship. The only question that remains, what will be the score margin between the two teams?

Recommended bet: Poland -2 AH odds: 1.98 @ BetWhale, stake: 80/100

Additional interesting bets: Over 3 goals @ 2.14; Poland over 2.5 @ 2.07, HT/FT Poland/Poland @ 1.47; 1st Half Poland @ 1.61; 1st Half Over 1.25 @ 2.05; 1st Half Fist Team to Score Poland @ 1.54; Poland to score in both halves @ 1.89.

Final Result: Poland – Estonia 5:1

Profit: +78.4 units


  • Alan Phillips

    Alan Phillips (Online Gambling Writer and Specialist), a luminary in the sphere of online gambling, enriches CasinoBonusWise with his extensive knowledge and unbridled enthusiasm. As a specialist writer, Alan delves into the evolving landscape of the casino industry, unearthing the latest trends and developments to bring our readers the most refreshing and enlightening content. His articles and reviews, characterized by meticulous research and profound understanding, offer invaluable insights into the nuances of casino games, strategies, and the most rewarding bonus offers. Alan's commitment to the promotion of responsible gaming is not just a professional stance but a personal creed, ensuring that our audience enjoys a gaming experience that is as safe as it is enjoyable. Rely on Alan for a blend of informative and captivating content that enriches your journey in the world of online casinos.

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