Poland plays away against Wales on the 26th of March (19:45 GMT / 14:45 ET / 11:45 PT) in the UEFA European Championship Qualifiers final.
Wales finished in 3rd place in a group with Turkey, Croatia, Armenia and Latvia. They won 3 matches, drawn 3 and lost 2. Their form wasn’t the greatest, if we take into account Armenia and Latvia which are weaker than them.
Poland also finished in 3rd place in another group with Albania, Czech Republic, Moldova and Faroe Islands. They were the favorites in the group, but Albania managed to be the surprise of the qualifiers and won the group.
On the 21st of March in the semi-finals of the qualifiers both teams managed to easily defeat their adversaries. Wales beat Finland 4 – 1, while Poland beat Estonia 5 – 1.
Wales vs Poland head to head:
The teams met 9 times (official matches):
- Wales won 1 game
- 1 draw
- Poland won 7 games
The form of the teams in the most recent 5 UEFA European Championship Qualifiers matches:
- Wales: 3 wins, 2 draws
- Poland: 2 wins, 2 draw, 1 loss
Teams’ stats in the European Championship Qualifiers matches so far:
Win-Loss Record:
- Wales has won 4 matches, with 3 wins at home and 1 away. They’ve drawn 3 games, 1 at home and 2 away, and lost 2 matches, 1 at home and 1 away.
- Poland has also won 4 games, with 3 wins at home and 1 away. They’ve drawn 2 matches, both at home, and lost 3 games, all away.
Goal Scoring and Conceding:
- Wales has scored a total of 14 goals (1.56 goals / match), with 10 scored at home and 4 away. They’ve conceded 11 goals (1.22 goals / match), 7 at home and 4 away.
- Poland has scored 15 goals (1.67 goals / match), with 10 at home and 5 away. They’ve conceded 11 goals (1.22 goals / match) as well, but only 3 at home and 8 away.
- Wales failed to score in 1 match, away from home, while Poland also failed to score in 1 away match.
Clean Sheets and First Goal Timing:
- Wales has kept 2 clean sheets, 1 each at home and away. On average, they score their first goal around the 32nd minute and concede the first goal around the 44th minute.
- Poland has managed 3 clean sheets, 2 at home and 1 away. They typically score their first goal around the 41st minute and concede around the 39th minute.
Biggest Victories and Defeats:
- Wales’ biggest victory was 4-2, while their biggest defeat was 2-4.
- Poland’s biggest victory was also 5-1, and their biggest defeat was 0-2.
Wales possible starting lineup:
Danny Ward, Neco Williams, Chris Mepham, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Harry Wilson, Daniel James, Jordan James, Brennan Johnson, Nathan Broadhead, Kieffer Moore
Poland possible starting lineup:
Wojciech Szczęsny, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Przemysław Frankowski, Matty Cash, Piotr Zieliński, Sebastian Szymański, Nicola Zalewski, Bartosz Slisz, Karol Świderski, Robert Lewandowski
Unavailable players:
- Wales: W. Burns (injured)
- Poland: –
Poland is a better team than Wales and although the odds don’t reflect this, according to the odds Wales is the favorite (they play at home). I will go with Poland 0 AH because the 2.22 odds provide true value here.
Recommended bet: Poland 0, odds: 2.22 @ BetWhale, stake: 70/100
Final result: Wales – Poland 0:0 (0-1 after penalties)
Profit: 0 units
